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Dividend vs. Capital Gains Income.
As discussed below, income from long-term capital gains generally
receives more favorable tax treatment than dividend income. However,
any capital gains that an investment may earn tend to be somewhat
unpredictable and, in any case, must be deferred until at least
some portion of the investment is sold.
Dividend income, on the other hand, while not necessarily completely
certain, tends to be more predictable than capital gains and is
generally received monthly or quarterly, so that it can be used
to pay current expenses without selling the investment that generated
it.
Taxation of Dividends. Investment
dividends are normally taxed as ordinary income for federal and
most state income tax purposes.
Therefore, a hypothetical 9% per annum dividend return would not
be the same as 9% annual appreciation in a common stock, because
there would be no tax consequences of holding the non-dividend paying
stock and if held for at least one year, any capital appreciation
in the value of the stock that is realized upon sale would be federally
taxed at the time of sale at a 20% rate (but not higher than a taxpayer's
ordinary income tax rate). Generally for assets disposed of after
December 31, 2002, that have been held for at least 5 years, a maximum
18% federal long-term capital gains tax rate will apply.
The U.S. Congress has under consideration a proposed a change in
the income tax treatment of dividends, to reduce or eliminate the
tax to shareholders on dividends paid by taxable corporations. However,
it is uncertain whether any such provision will become law.
Equivalence between Dividends and Capital
Gains. If one makes some convenient assumptions, it is possible
to compare after-tax earnings investments from dividends and from
capital gains. The following table shows for each federal income
tax bracket the annual price appreciation that one would need to
earn on an investment in a non-dividend paying common stock to be
equivalent to a portfolio of investments that pays a quarterly taxable
dividend return of 9% per annum. No allowance is made in the table
for the effect of state income taxes.
Annual Stock Price Appreciation
Equivalent to a
9% Quarterly Taxable Dividend Yield
|
Federal Tax
Bracket |
1-Year
Holding Period |
2-Year
Holding Period |
3-Year
Holding Period |
4-Year
Holding Period |
5-Year
Holding Period |
| 10% |
9.31% |
9.27% |
9.23% |
9.20% |
9.16% |
| 15% |
9.31% |
9.25% |
9.19% |
9.14% |
9.09% |
| 27% |
8.49% |
8.43% |
8.36% |
8.31% |
8.25% |
| 30% |
8.14% |
8.08% |
8.03% |
7.97% |
7.92% |
| 35% |
7.56% |
7.51% |
7.46% |
7.41% |
7.37% |
| 38.6% |
7.14% |
7.10% |
7.05% |
7.01% |
6.97% |
It is interesting to note that for persons in the 15% tax bracket
and below, equivalent to a joint married taxable income of $46,700
or less in 2002, it is actually necessary to achieve a higher rate
of annual appreciation than the stated return, because of the compounding
effect of quarterly dividends.
The foregoing table also ignores the effect of market price changes
in the dividend paying investments. If the investments were to increase
in value then total return would exceed the dividend yield, whereas
if they were to decline in value, the total return would be less
than the dividend yield. The table also ignores any alternative
18% capital gains tax rate that may apply to investments held at
least 5 years.
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